臺灣社會學會年會
11/12(六)上午場次
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1-1-第三會議室-亞洲軍事與社會關係:日增的壓力(1) 台灣、印度與澳洲的軍民關係
2022-10-01
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場次簡介:亞洲軍事與社會關係:日增的壓力(1) 台灣、印度與澳洲的軍民關係

台灣的軍事社會關係近年來成為民眾們關心的重要議題。舉凡義務役、教召改革、軍方與民主化、國防產業的軍民合作等等,在當今的地緣與國內政治背景之下,特別是從今年烏克蘭戰爭以來,都躍入大眾視野之中。儘管台灣的軍事社會學研究已有多年發展,一般的媒體討論似乎仍然比較重視政治學與國際關係的看法,社會學的觀點則相當少見。故而此議題這兩年來也成為中研院社會所比較亞洲轉型主題研究小組持續關注的焦點。承本小組先前所舉辦的軍事與社會系列演講、去年的國際學術工作坊,以及討論台灣安全問題與軍隊國家化的講座,在今年的研討會上,我們希望能繼續深化主題,邀請研究台灣、日本、澳、印、菲等國家的軍事政治與社會學者,聚首討論亞洲的軍事與社會關係的變遷。並且希望能藉此推展台灣軍事社會學的研究,並吸引更多人投入此一領域。

 

Introduction: Taiwan’s military-civilian relations have become a major issue of public concern. Topics such as reform of the compulsory service and development of the defense industry have all jumped into the public eye in the context of an increasing and more obvious geopolitical pressure, especially since the start of the Ukraine war this year. Although Taiwan’s military sociology research has already a long history, most media and public debates seem to pay more attention to the views of political science and international relations, and less so from sociology. The research team on Asian Social Transformation in Comparative Perspective of the Institute of Sociology at Academia Sinica has therefore taken interest in these issues over the past two years. Following a series of lectures on topics such as Taiwan’s security issues and the nationalization of the military, along with the international academic workshop we held last year, during this year’s workshop held in cooperation with TSA & Ping-Tung University, we hope to deepen this thematic by gathering recent research on the cases of Taiwan, Japan, Australia, India, the Philippines, etc., and we hope it will contribute to inciting more sociologists to dive into this field of research.

 

主持人:彭保羅 Paul JOBIN
發表人:潘欣欣 (東吳大學社會系助理教授)
題目:Perceived Risk and Willingness to Fight: World Value Surveys Evidence (風險感知與作 戰意願:世界價值觀調查的證據)
The democratic peace theory, the trade peace theory, the capitalist peace theory, and the long-peace cultural theory predict that people’s willingness to fight in war declines worldwide. However, we observe a counter-case where an overwhelming majority of countries under strong powers’ threat are willing to fight for one’s own country. For decades, Russia and China have maintained strong trade and capital connections with their neighboring countries. As the economic dependency grows, people of strong power’s small neighboring countries grow strong will to fight against the strong powers as they have more and more to lose in the time of war. To address the puzzle of strong willingness to fight, we argue that the perceived risk of war boosts the willingness to fight for one’s country through the rise of nationalism and optimistic prospect for the national economy. The outbreak of war immediately violates sovereignty where people’s national identity is one of the most important elements. Additionally, economic development is vulnerable to war. With the grave perceived risk of war, people with strong nationalist pride and a good prospect of the economy are willing to fight for their own country in order to defend their national pride and economic interests in times of aggression. Based on the dataset of wave 7 of the World Value Surveys, the empirical evidence shows that the perceived risk of the war determines the people’s willingness to fight via the conditional effects of national pride and prospect for the economy in the face of security threat. 

Keywords: willingness to fight; perceived risk of war; public opinion

發表人:溫賈舒 (中研院社會所博士)
題目:Survey Research of Topics in Taiwan’s Civil-Military Relations: A Review of the Literature (台灣軍民關係議題調查研究的文獻回顧)
This paper will review the literature on survey research of topics in Taiwan’s civil-military relations. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to increased attention to the potential for PRC armed aggression against Taiwan and to the question of how Taiwan would respond to a PLA attack. While that decision would rest principally with the civilian leadership in Taipei, the ROC military would face the daunting task of fighting a superior force and Taiwan’s society would be plunged into the fog of war. The questions of Taiwan’s preparedness for war and of its likely response to a PRC attack are therefore intimately related to civil-military relations and military sociology. Scholarship on civil-military relations has expanded beyond the question of civilian control to the tri-partite relationship between the state, military, and society. Survey research is an important tool for understanding this complex relationship. 

Even before the Ukraine War broke out, increased PRC military intimidation of Taiwan since 2016 and the precarious military balance in the Taiwan Strait had led to an upsurge in opinion surveys— mainly of Taiwan’s general public— on a host of civil-military topics including: the length of compulsory military service; the length and frequency of reservist training; recruitment and retention of professional soldiers; possible reinstitution of a conscript army system; support for military exercises and civil defense drills; media coverage of the military and defense-related information on social media; military threat-level perceptions; assessments of the military’s capacity to fend off an attack; and popular will to fight. While this survey research is certainly welcome, this paper will suggest that it could benefit from a firmer grounding in the history of Taiwan’s civil-military relations, in theory, and in sound survey methodology, as well as from increased coordination among researchers and between civilian and defense-related research institutions. 


Keywords: civil-military relations; tri-partite model; survey research; Taiwanese public opinion

發表人:Ben WADHAM (澳洲Flinders大學教育、心理暨社工學院副教授)
題目:Widening Gap – Converging Relations: The Changing Character of Australian Civil-Military Relations(斷層擴大—關係重合:澳洲軍民關係變遷的性質) 
Australian civil military relations, and the democratic control of the military are established upon a form of separation of powers. The aim is to maintain a distinction so that the military cannot become politicised and the political cannot be overtaken by military interests. During the Great Wars this convention remained strong but in the last twenty years under changing geopolitical circumstances and through the radicalisation of neo-conservative politics those separations have diminished. In the same period the gap between civil society and the military has widened. Military service has transitioned from commitment to the institution to an occupation and the proximity—or the gap—between Australian citizens and Australian military personnel has increased. This paper describes these two forces in terms of Australia’s relationship to the ANZUS treaty and our deference to US military might and potential geopolitical protection. The way that the Australian government has sustained Indo Pacific relations and our response to growing Chinese presence in the region will be described in terms of contemporary global growth of authoritarian politics manifesting in Australian civil military relations.

Keywords: civil-military relations; culture gap; civil-military divided; extremism; ANZUS; Indo- Pacific

發表人:Anit MUKHERJEE(新加坡南洋理工大學 RSIS國際研究學院副教授)
題目:India’s Twin Transformations: The State, Military and Society in India(印度的雙生轉型:印度的國家、軍事與社會)

India is among the few post-colonial states with firm civilian control, as its military has never threatened its democratic order. What are the causes and consequences of India’s model of civilian control? Additionally, considering rise in border tensions vis-à-vis China, how does the Indian public think about its military and does it support the notion of the Quad? While covering all these developments, including current changes in defense policies, this paper analyses the debates currently underway in civil-military relations and between the Indian military and its society. While doing so, it also sheds light on some conceptual ideas underlying democratic civilian control. The research for this paper is informed by more than 200 interviews with current and former Indian policymakers, including politicians, bureaucrats, and military officers.

Keywords: Civil-military relations; India; China; Military Transformation; State-Society Relations