臺灣社會學會年會
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1-3-第三會議室-亞洲軍事與社會關係:日增的壓力(2)日本:盟友或是局外人?
2022-10-04
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場次簡介:亞洲軍事與社會關係:日增的壓力(2)日本:盟友或是局外人?

台灣的軍事社會關係近年來成為民眾們關心的重要議題。舉凡義務役、教召改革、軍方與民主化、國防產業的軍民合作等等,在當今的地緣與國內政治背景之下,特別是從今年烏克蘭戰爭以來,都躍入大眾視野之中。儘管台灣的軍事社會學研究已有多年發展,一般的媒體討論似乎仍然比較重視政治學與國際關係的看法,社會學的觀點則相當少見。故而此議題這兩年來也成為中研院社會所比較亞洲轉型主題研究小組持續關注的焦點。承本小組先前所舉辦的軍事與社會系列演講、去年的國際學術工作坊,以及討論台灣安全問題與軍隊國家化的講座,在今年的研討會上,我們希望能繼續深化主題,邀請研究台灣、日本、澳、印、菲等國家的軍事政治與社會學者,聚首討論亞洲的軍事與社會關係的變遷。並且希望能藉此推展台灣軍事社會學的研究,並吸引更多人投入此一領域。
Introduction: Taiwan’s military-civilian relations have become a major issue of public concern. Topics such as reform of the compulsory service and development of the defense industry have all jumped into the public eye in the context of an increasing and more obvious geopolitical pressure, especially since the start of the Ukraine war this year. Although Taiwan’s military sociology research has already a long history, most media and public debates seem to pay more attention to the views of political science and international relations, and less so from sociology. The research team on Asian Social Transformation in Comparative Perspective of the Institute of Sociology at Academia Sinica has therefore taken interest in these issues over the past two years. Following a series of lectures on topics such as Taiwan’s security issues and the nationalization of the military, along with the international academic workshop we held last year, during this year’s workshop held in cooperation with TSA & Ping-Tung University, we hope to deepen this thematic by gathering recent research on the cases of Taiwan, Japan, Australia, India, the Philippines, etc., and we hope it will contribute to inciting more sociologists to dive into this field of research.

 

 


主持人兼評論:林賢參
發表人:楊雯婷 (政治大學日本研究學位學程助理教授)
題目: Narrative of Friend and Potential Enemy ? Japan’s Changing Perception of China and its Impact on Social Norms(盟友和潛在敵人的敘事?日本對中國的認知以及其對社會規範的影響)

Facing the challenge of a rising China, does Japanese government change its threat perception of China? Does the change of threat perception impact Japan’s security policy? Do Japanese domestic legal and social norms shift to response to these new security concerns? Drawing from Japanese official documents and leaders’ remarks, this article indicate not only Japanese government, Abe Administration in particular, has perceived China’s increasing military capabilities and its maritime activities near the Senkaku Islands as a threat, but also form a narrative that Japan must work with like-minded friends, namely the United States and its allies, to deter these existing and forthcoming threats. The changes of threat perception directly led to the change of legal norms, including the reinterpretation of the Constitution to allow Japan to exercise the right to collective self-defense and a series of security legislation enacted in 2015. Moreover, by referring to surveys on perception toward China, polls on security policy, support rate to political party etc., this article shows that the Japanese public generally support the increasing cooperation between Japan and the US and its allies, not in favor of China, and support LDP’s defense policy. 

Keywords: Threat perception; Japanese security policy; U.S.-Japan relations; Sino-Japanese relations; Social norms


發表人:彭保羅 Paul JOBIN、平井新 Arata HIRAI  (中研院社會所副研究員/田大學地域・地域間研究機構次席研究員)
 
題目:How Much “Pro-Taiwan” Japanese Politicians Really Care for Taiwan?(日本的「親台」政治人物到底多關心台灣?)
Due to the dramatic increase of China’s military threat, there is a gradually growing public sentiment in Japan that Taiwan should be involved as a national security issue. So-called “Pro-Taiwan” (shintai) Japanese politicians on the right-wing of the Liberal Democratic Party—such as Abe Shinzō—have played an instrumental role in this dramatic shift. 

Beyond public expressions of concern (such as Abe’s December 2021 call to end U.S.’ “strategic ambiguity” over Taiwan) and mutual support (e.g., after Fukushima nuclear disaster or during the covid-19 pandemic), more concrete actions such as militarization of the Yaeyama region adjacent to Taiwan are far from being fully discussed and welcomed by the population of Okinawan or the Japanese people in general. It remains therefore unclear to what extent expressions of concern for Taiwan will decide Japan to intervene in case of a military aggression from China against Taiwan, provided it would not immediately affect Japanese territorial sovereignty (starting with the Senkaku and Yonaguni). In other words, is Taiwan a vital issue for Japanese right-wing “pro-Taiwan” politicians or rather an additional pretext to change the Constitution? Through a review of the literature in Chinese, English and Japanese, and interviews with specialists in Tokyo, Taipei and Okinawa, this paper will analyze the recent moves of “pro-Taiwan” Japanese politicians and intend to evaluate their impact.

Keywords: Japan-Taiwan relations; the “1972 setup”; the “2021 setup”

發表人:石原忠浩 Tadahiro ISHIHARA (政治大學日本研究學位學程助理教授)
題目:日本推動修憲過程的國內因素(Domestic Factors in the Process of Pushing Forward Japan’s Constitution Amendment Agenda)
  2022年7月前總理安倍晉三遭槍殺後所進行的參議院選舉中,自由民主黨獲得單獨過半的席次,加上不反對修憲的執政聯盟的公明黨,以及支持修憲的日本維新會、國民民主黨等四個政黨總席次超過三分之二多數,達到修憲案的門檻。岸田總理選後談到要加快修改憲法的腳步。面對中國的軍事威脅及俄烏戰爭的最新情勢下,日本輿論對國防安全意識的提升提供了修改憲法的契機。

  1947年施行的日本憲法在日本憲政下從未修改過,冷戰初期建黨的自民黨將修改憲法視為重要政治目標之一。然而,冷戰時期的自民黨政權偏向重視經濟成長與發展,刻意忽視修憲問題。後冷戰時期,隨著國民價值觀的多元化、國際安全環境的嚴峻化等因素,日本國內輿論支持修憲的人逐漸超越反對修憲的人。

  2012年自民黨在野時期完成修改憲法草案,不久後安倍晉三領導的自民黨在同年年底的選舉中獲得壓倒性的勝利。安倍執政時期的自民黨靠著高支持度在國家選舉中連戰連勝,並獲得必要修憲的門檻席次,卻無法推動具體的修憲程序。

  本文認為日本政治無法順利推動修憲的因素包括美中韓等重要周邊國家的態度之外,最重要的仍然是國內的政治和社會因素,尤其長期習慣和平憲法的歷史因素以及分散多元的日本國民價值觀與政黨利益所造成。

關鍵字:日本、修改憲法、自由民主黨、國內因素。